Economic impact of weather-related power outages estimated at $18 billion to $33 billion annually

The White House has just released a report The Economic Benefits of Increasing Electric Grid Resilience to Weather Outages that was prepared by the President’s Council of Economic Advisers and the Department of Energy’s Office of Electricity Delivery and Energy Reliability, with assistance from the White House Office of Science and Technology. 

The U.S. power grid connects more than 144 million customers over 450,000 miles of high voltage transmission lines to
5,800 major power plants with a total capacity of roughly a thousand GW. The grid not only supplies power to
residential, commercial and industrial customers, but 99 % of all U.S.
Department of Defense installations located within the United States
rely on the commercial electric grid for power.

Severe weather is the single leading cause of power outages in the
United States. Outages caused by severe weather  account for 58 percent
of outages observed since 2002 and 87 percent of outages affecting
50,000 or more customers. In all, 679 widespread outages occurred
between 2003 and 2012 due to severe weather.

Economic impact of outages caused by extreme weather events

It estimates that between 2003 and 2012
weather-related outages are estimated to have cost the U.S. economy an
inflation-adjusted annual average of $18 billion to $33 billion. But annual
costs fluctuate significantly from a high in 2008 of $40 billion to $75 billion to a low in 2007 of $5 to 10 billion.  The financial impact of outages includes lost output and wages, spoiled
inventory, delayed production, inconvenience and the cost of restarting industrial operation.

(In constant 2012 dolllars)

2012 $27 – $52 billion

2011 $19 – $36

2010 $13 – $25

2009  $8 – $14 

2008 $40 – $75

2007  $5 – $10

2006 $23 – $43

2005 $14 – $27

2004 $14 – $27

2003 $14 – $26

Transmission line constrcution 1960 - 2015 Brattle

Aging transmission grid

Projected construction of transmission lines remains well below the rates experienced between 1960 and 1990. Seventy percent of the grid’s transmission lines and power transformers are now over 25 years old and the average age of power plants is over 30 years.

Outages and causes 1992 2012 US EIA

Climate change likely to increase extreme weather events

The IPCC and other scientific sources forecast the increased probablility of more severe hurricanes, winter storms, heat
waves, floods and other extreme weather events being the primary impact of global climate change.  The incidence of both major power outages and severe weather is increasing. Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration show that weather-related outages have increased significantly since 1992.

Grid modernization (aka smart grid)

In June 2011, President Obama released A Policy Framework for the 21st Century Grid which set out a strategy for modernizing the electric grid. The initiative is aimed at applying smart grid technologies to increase the grid’s efficiency, reliability, and resilience.  This involves hardening the grid to make it less vulnerable to weather-related outages and recovery/reconstitution to reduce the time it takes to restore power after an outage occurs.

Geoff Zeiss

Geoff Zeiss

Geoff Zeiss has more than 20 years experience in the geospatial software industry and 15 years experience developing enterprise geospatial solutions for the utilities, communications, and public works industries. His particular interests include the convergence of BIM, CAD, geospatial, and 3D. In recognition of his efforts to evangelize geospatial in vertical industries such as utilities and construction, Geoff received the Geospatial Ambassador Award at Geospatial World Forum 2014. Currently Geoff is Principal at Between the Poles, a thought leadership consulting firm. From 2001 to 2012 Geoff was Director of Utility Industry Program at Autodesk Inc, where he was responsible for thought leadership for the utility industry program. From 1999 to 2001 he was Director of Enterprise Software Development at Autodesk. He received one of ten annual global technology awards in 2004 from Oracle Corporation for technical innovation and leadership in the use of Oracle. Prior to Autodesk Geoff was Director of Product Development at VISION* Solutions. VISION* Solutions is credited with pioneering relational spatial data management, CAD/GIS integration, and long transactions (data versioning) in the utility, communications, and public works industries. Geoff is a frequent speaker at geospatial and utility events around the world including Geospatial World Forum, Where 2.0, MundoGeo Connect (Brazil), Middle East Spatial Geospatial Forum, India Geospatial Forum, Location Intelligence, Asia Geospatial Forum, and GITA events in US, Japan and Australia. Geoff received Speaker Excellence Awards at GITA 2007-2009.

View article by Geoff Zeiss

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