Global Climate Change and Arctic Sea Ice

The extent of Arctic sea ice is one of the most accessible sources of data showing the effect of global climate change.  The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) began monitoring Arctic sea ice extents in 1978 using passive microwave satellites (NSIDC Near-Real-Time DMSP SSM/I Daily Polar Gridded Sea Ice Concentrations and the Sea Ice Concentrations from Nimbus-7 SSMR and DMSP SSM/I Passive Microwave) at a resolution of 25 km.  September 2007 was the lowest summer Arctic sea ice extent observed since NSIDC began monitoring and recording sea ice extents in 1978.  To see an animation of observed sea ice extents for September from 1979 through 2008, go to this site and select 

  • Northern hemisphere, 
  • 1979
  • September 
  • Sea Ice Extent
  • check Fixed Month Animations.

A recent article, which extrapolated Arctic sea ice extents back to 1200 CE using a combination of regional tree-ring chronology from the timberline area in Fennoscandia and δ18O from the Lomonosovfonna ice core in Svalbard calibrated for the period 1864–1997, suggests that the N_200709_extn present low sea ice extent is the lowest  over the last 800 years and began with a decline starting in the late-nineteenth century after the so called Little Ice Age (LIA) from the seventeenth to the nineteenth centuries, when the largest sea ice extent values occurred.  Last year the Northwest Passage was ice free in the summer for the first time in history.  Right now the Arctic is in the midst of the summer melt season. Through June ice extent tracked below the 1979 to 2000 average, and slightly above the levels recorded during June 2007.

ArcticSeaIceIPCC and observed An article published in 2007 by Julienne Stroeve and co-workers at NSIDC has suggested that the IPCC models are too conservative in their estimates that the Arctic will become completely ice-free in the summer during the second half of this century or later.  On average, the IPCC models suggest a trend that is three times smaller than what has been observed.  The observed rate indicates that sea ice conditions for September are about thirty years ahead of where the models predict and suggest it is likely that the Arctic will be ice free in the summer during the first half of this century.

Geoff Zeiss

Geoff Zeiss

Geoff Zeiss has more than 20 years experience in the geospatial software industry and 15 years experience developing enterprise geospatial solutions for the utilities, communications, and public works industries. His particular interests include the convergence of BIM, CAD, geospatial, and 3D. In recognition of his efforts to evangelize geospatial in vertical industries such as utilities and construction, Geoff received the Geospatial Ambassador Award at Geospatial World Forum 2014. Currently Geoff is Principal at Between the Poles, a thought leadership consulting firm. From 2001 to 2012 Geoff was Director of Utility Industry Program at Autodesk Inc, where he was responsible for thought leadership for the utility industry program. From 1999 to 2001 he was Director of Enterprise Software Development at Autodesk. He received one of ten annual global technology awards in 2004 from Oracle Corporation for technical innovation and leadership in the use of Oracle. Prior to Autodesk Geoff was Director of Product Development at VISION* Solutions. VISION* Solutions is credited with pioneering relational spatial data management, CAD/GIS integration, and long transactions (data versioning) in the utility, communications, and public works industries. Geoff is a frequent speaker at geospatial and utility events around the world including Geospatial World Forum, Where 2.0, MundoGeo Connect (Brazil), Middle East Spatial Geospatial Forum, India Geospatial Forum, Location Intelligence, Asia Geospatial Forum, and GITA events in US, Japan and Australia. Geoff received Speaker Excellence Awards at GITA 2007-2009.

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