Global methane emissions 60 to 110 % greater than current estimates

Methane has the second-largest global radiative forcing impact of anthropogenic greenhouse gases after carbon dioxide. In addition to anthropogenic sources, mainly fossil fuels, livestock and waste, natural methane sources include the biosphere (wetlands, termites, oceans, wildfires, and wild animals), volcanoes and geothermal emissions, and geological seepage where large quantities of natural gas migrate from shallow or deep rocks and reservoirs to the surface along faults and fractured rocks.

Estimates of emissions have come under increasing scrutiny. A recent study assessed the spatial distribution of anthropogenic methane sources in the United States by combining comprehensive atmospheric methane observations, extensive spatial datasets, and a high-resolution atmospheric transport model. It was concluded that the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) underestimates methane emissions nationally by a factor of 1.5.

The concentration of methane in the atmosphere stabilized from about 1999 to 2007.  But here is evidence that since 2007 it began rising again.  A recent study suggests that the more than 30% increase in U.S. methane emissions over the 2002–2014 period could account for 30–60% of the global growth of atmospheric methane seen in the past decade.

In a study just published the global methane budget and the contribution of the fossil fuel industry to methane emissions has been reevaluated. The ratio of carbon-13 to carbon-12 provides a signature which helps identify the source of methane. Both global methane and methane carbon isotope (carbon-13) records were used to compile what is believed to be the largest isotopic methane source signature database, including fossil fuel, microbial and biomass-burning methane emission sources. Total fossil fuel methane emissions from the fossil fuel industry plus natural geological seepage are 60 to 110 % greater than current estimates. After accounting for natural geological seepage, it is found that methane emissions from natural gas, oil and coal production and their usage are 20 to 60 % greater than current estimates.

Geoff Zeiss

Geoff Zeiss

Geoff Zeiss has more than 20 years experience in the geospatial software industry and 15 years experience developing enterprise geospatial solutions for the utilities, communications, and public works industries. His particular interests include the convergence of BIM, CAD, geospatial, and 3D. In recognition of his efforts to evangelize geospatial in vertical industries such as utilities and construction, Geoff received the Geospatial Ambassador Award at Geospatial World Forum 2014. Currently Geoff is Principal at Between the Poles, a thought leadership consulting firm. From 2001 to 2012 Geoff was Director of Utility Industry Program at Autodesk Inc, where he was responsible for thought leadership for the utility industry program. From 1999 to 2001 he was Director of Enterprise Software Development at Autodesk. He received one of ten annual global technology awards in 2004 from Oracle Corporation for technical innovation and leadership in the use of Oracle. Prior to Autodesk Geoff was Director of Product Development at VISION* Solutions. VISION* Solutions is credited with pioneering relational spatial data management, CAD/GIS integration, and long transactions (data versioning) in the utility, communications, and public works industries. Geoff is a frequent speaker at geospatial and utility events around the world including Geospatial World Forum, Where 2.0, MundoGeo Connect (Brazil), Middle East Spatial Geospatial Forum, India Geospatial Forum, Location Intelligence, Asia Geospatial Forum, and GITA events in US, Japan and Australia. Geoff received Speaker Excellence Awards at GITA 2007-2009.

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