The future of electric vehicles: recent battery innovation may be key

One of the things I particularly like about Air Canada is the movie/video content because you can find things that you might not otherwise come across.  Last Sunday coming back from the UK, I was lucky to find two engrossing documentaries about electric vehicles.

The first was “Who Killed the Electric Car ?” which is the intriguing history of General Motors’ EV1, every instance of which GM ultimately tracked down and destroyed, except for one EV1 in a museum, and even than one GM insisted on disabling.  In answer to the question in the title, the film concluded that the American consumer, the automobile manufactureres, and the oil companies were all partially to blame.

The second documentary “The Revenge of the Electric Car” oultined the history of Tesla Motors, the Chevy Volt, and the Nissan Leaf.  The claimed range of the Tesla Roadster is 245 miles, the Leaf 100 miles, and the Volt 40 miles (using the electric motor only).

In its 2009 asessment the Energy Information Administration (EIA) identified several key issues that will determine when and if widespread adoption of the electric vehicle occurs

  1. “A typical consumer may be willing to purchase a PHEV instead of a conventional ICE vehicle when the economic benefit of reduced fuel expenditures is greater than the total incremental cost of the PHEV.
  2. “PHEVs also face uncertainty with respect to Li-Ion battery life and safety.  Future advances in Li-Ion battery technology could address economic, lifetime, and safety concerns, paving the way for large-scale sales and significant penetration of PHEVs into the U.S. LDV fleet.  For example, a technological breakthrough could conceivably allow for smaller batteries with the same capacity and power output, thus lowering incremental costs and making PHEVs attractive on a cost-benefit basis.
  3. “PHEVs could significantly reduce GHG emissions in the transportation sector, depending on the fuels used to produce electricity.
  4. “PHEVs use less gasoline than conventional ICE vehicles. If PHEVs displaced conventional ICE vehicles, U.S. petroleum imports could be reduced.”

According to a recent report from Pike Research, “hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) and plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) combined will represent 3.1% of worldwide auto sales by 2017. Thanks to higher penetration rates in the United States, HEVs and PEVs will account for 5.1% of total U.S. vehicle sales in 2017.”

Lithium-ion battery breakthrough Envia 2012Related to EIA Item 2, at the ARPA-E Energy Innovation Summit, it was reported that independent testing has verified that a new Envia lithium-ion battery achieves 400 Wh/kg compared to 80-150 Wh/kg for current state-of-the-art batteries.  It is claimed that the Envia battery would extend the range of a 100 mile EV to 300 miles which based on the EIA’s assessment could significantly change the cost-benefit picture of EVs.

Geoff Zeiss

Geoff Zeiss

Geoff Zeiss has more than 20 years experience in the geospatial software industry and 15 years experience developing enterprise geospatial solutions for the utilities, communications, and public works industries. His particular interests include the convergence of BIM, CAD, geospatial, and 3D. In recognition of his efforts to evangelize geospatial in vertical industries such as utilities and construction, Geoff received the Geospatial Ambassador Award at Geospatial World Forum 2014. Currently Geoff is Principal at Between the Poles, a thought leadership consulting firm. From 2001 to 2012 Geoff was Director of Utility Industry Program at Autodesk Inc, where he was responsible for thought leadership for the utility industry program. From 1999 to 2001 he was Director of Enterprise Software Development at Autodesk. He received one of ten annual global technology awards in 2004 from Oracle Corporation for technical innovation and leadership in the use of Oracle. Prior to Autodesk Geoff was Director of Product Development at VISION* Solutions. VISION* Solutions is credited with pioneering relational spatial data management, CAD/GIS integration, and long transactions (data versioning) in the utility, communications, and public works industries. Geoff is a frequent speaker at geospatial and utility events around the world including Geospatial World Forum, Where 2.0, MundoGeo Connect (Brazil), Middle East Spatial Geospatial Forum, India Geospatial Forum, Location Intelligence, Asia Geospatial Forum, and GITA events in US, Japan and Australia. Geoff received Speaker Excellence Awards at GITA 2007-2009.

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